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"I think one of the big conclusions that we can draw from this is that, in fact, military readiness in the West Sea had become very lax," said Carl Baker, an expert on Korean military relations at the Pacific Forum CSIS think-tank in Honolulu, calling it nothing short of an "indictment" of Seoul's preparedness there. Now, South Korean and U.S. militaries are taking pains to warn the North that such an embarrassment will not happen again. South Korean media reported earlier Thursday that the U.S.-South Korean combined forces command led by Sharp raised its surveillance level, called Watch Condition, up a level from 3 to 2. Level 1 is the highest. The increased alert level means U.S. spy satellites and U-2 spy planes would intensify their reconnaissance of North Korea, the JoongAng Ilbo newspaper said, citing an unidentified South Korean official. The South Korean and U.S. militaries would not confirm any reports on changes to the level. If confirmed, it would be the first change since North Korea carried out a nuclear test in May 2009, a South Korean Joint Chiefs of Staff officer said on condition of anonymity, citing department policy. A South Korean Defense Ministry official said Seoul will "resolutely" deal with the North's measures announced Thursday, though did not elaborate. He spoke on condition of anonymity, citing department policy. South Korea's military said there were no signs of unusual activity by North Korean troops.
Despite the tensions, most analysts feel the prospect of a major war, such as what destroyed the peninsula 60 years ago following an invasion from the North, remains remote as Pyongyang knows what's at stake. "I don't think they're really interested in going to war," said Daniel Pinkston, a Seoul-based analyst for the International Crisis Group think tank. "Because if it's all-out war, then I'm convinced it would mean the absolute destruction" of North Korea. "And their country would cease to exist."
[Associated
Press;
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