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Some investors say the S&P 500 is due for a drop of at least 10 percent, which is called a correction in trader-ese. The index hasn't experienced one since 2011, though it had a 6 percent drop between May 21 and June 24. Economists also expect the Federal Reserve to soon announce a paring back of its bond-buying stimulus program for the economy, perhaps as early as its next policy meeting, which ends Sept. 18. The Fed's efforts have helped to keep long-term interest rates low. The S&P 500 has climbed 18 percent in 2013 -- more than it has in 11 of the last 13 full years -- and many forecasters on Wall Street expect more gains from stocks in the coming months. Strategists at Deutsche Bank and Goldman Sachs predict the S&P 500 to end the year at 1,750, for example. That would mean a 4 percent rise from its 1,683.42 closing level on Thursday. Barclays is more skeptical, forecasting the S&P 500 will fall and end the year at 1,600. Here are some factors investors should keep in mind when considering stock mutual funds building up their cash levels: It can mean a higher tax bill. When mutual funds sell stocks, they must record how much profit or loss they made on the investment. At the end of the year, they tally up all the gains and losses, and they distribute those to their investors. So fund investors could receive a capital gains distribution and owe taxes on it, even if they didn't sell any shares of the mutual fund themselves. You're paying someone to hold cash. When a mutual fund holds cash, it is still charging its expenses to cover its managers' salaries and other operating costs. The average U.S. stock mutual fund has an expense ratio of 1.26 percent, which means that it deducts 1.26 percent of the fund's total assets annually for expenses.
The top rate on long-term capital gains is 23.8 percent this year after including a new tax on the highest income earners to help pay for the federal government's health care overhaul. That is up from a top rate of 15 percent last year.
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