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			 After testing positive for malaria he got a three-day course of 
			drugs from a community health volunteer in his village but even 
			though his fever subsided, he continued to be plagued by headaches 
			and another test still showed positive results. 
 Experts say his case could be an indication of drug resistance to 
			the mosquito-borne disease, which has been spreading in Myanmar and 
			other countries in the Mekong River basin in what threatens to 
			become the next big global health emergency if it marches on to 
			India and Africa.
 
 "This was a missed opportunity," said Eisa Hamid, an epidemiologist 
			working with the United Nations in Myanmar, who specializes in 
			monitoring and evaluating malaria programs.
 
 Normally, after three days of treatment the farmer's blood should 
			have been clear of malaria-transmitting parasites.
 
			
			 
			"With any patient showing positive test results after three days of 
			treatment, we have to suspect drug resistance, and more 
			sophisticated blood testing should have been done as he could still 
			carry the parasites that cause malaria in his blood."
 MALARIA'S NEW GROUND ZERO
 
 Malaria death rates dropped by 47 percent between 2000 and 2014 
			worldwide but it still killed some 584,000 people in 2013, most of 
			them in sub-Saharan Africa, according to the World Health 
			Organization (WHO).
 
 Much of the success in fighting the disease is due to the use of 
			combination therapies (ACTs) based on artemisinin, a Chinese herb 
			derivative, which is now under threat as malaria parasites have been 
			building up resistance to the drugs.
 
 Experts say Myanmar, which has the largest malaria burden in the 
			region, is the next frontier in the spread of resistance to 
			artemisinin.
 
 Positioned between the Andaman Sea and the Himalayas and bordering 
			India and China - home to 40 percent of the world's population - 
			Myanmar is in a unique position to halt the spread of resistance to 
			India and Africa.
 
 "We need to act fast to avoid a big catastrophe," said Pascal 
			Ringwald of the WHO's Global Malaria Programme. "The consequences 
			could be disastrous."
 
 If the problem spreads beyond the region, history would repeat 
			itself for a third time, as resistance to other malaria drugs 
			developed in the area before and spread to Africa to claim the lives 
			of millions, especially children.
 
 But the urgency is far greater this time as new drugs to replace 
			ACTs are not yet available.
 
 "Artemisinin resistance could wipe out a lot of the gains we've made 
			in containing malaria and there is nothing yet to replace it," said 
			Nyan Sint, an epidemiologist and regional malaria officer working 
			with the government's national malaria control program.
 
 Before being identified in Myanmar in 2008, signs of resistance were 
			found in Cambodia and since have also been confirmed in Thailand, 
			Laos and Vietnam, according to the WHO.
 
			
			 
			Why parasites become resistant to drugs is not entirely clear but 
			prolonged civil conflict, dense jungles, migration and poor quality 
			drugs are all believed to play a part.
 The human and economic cost of failing to stop the spread would be 
			huge, according to a model published in the Malaria Journal last 
			month.
 
 The study estimated an extra 116,000 deaths per year if artemisinin 
			resistance is not stopped. Medical costs could exceed $32 million 
			per year, while productivity losses from a rise in cases and deaths 
			are estimated at $385 million.
 
 WORSE THAN EBOLA?
 
 Francois Nosten, a French malaria expert who has been studying the 
			disease along the Myanmar-Thai border for about three decades, said 
			drug-resistance is a quiet menace that is at risk of being 
			overlooked as world attention focuses on the Ebola outbreak in West 
			Africa.
 
 "You don't see people dying in the streets, like with Ebola, but the 
			consequences of it spreading further could be a lot worse," he said.
 
 In Myanmar the partner drugs in ACTs are still working, but they are 
			already failing in western Cambodia, a sign that the clock is 
			ticking fast in the fight against drug-resistance.
 
 Some 60 percent of Myanmar's 51 million people live in 
			malaria-endemic areas, many of them migrants and people in 
			hard-to-reach rural areas.
 
 The number of people dying from the disease fell sharply after ACTs 
			became more widely available but the country still recorded 333,871 
			malaria cases in 2013 and 236 deaths, WHO data shows.
 
			
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			In Kayin state, formerly known as Karen state, much progress has 
			been made since a January 2012 ceasefire between the government and 
			the Karen National Union (KNU), halting one of the world's 
			longest-running civil wars.
 Villages like Min Saw used to have lots of malaria cases but better 
			access to health care workers since the ceasefire, ACTs, rapid 
			diagnosis tests and mass distribution of insecticide-treated bed 
			nets led to a sharp drop.
 
 "We used to have much higher incidence rates," said Saw Ohn Myint, a 
			community health worker. "But we need more training and more 
			equipment to continue to make progress."
 
			International aid organizations have been working with ethnic groups 
			and the government to set up a network of 1,500 village health 
			volunteers that can dispense ACTs.
 But thousands of Kayin's state 1.5 million people remain uncovered 
			because they are in hard-to-reach areas, sometimes still controlled 
			by armed ethnic groups restricting access for government health 
			workers.
 
 Mistrust following five decades of military rule in Myanmar still 
			runs deep in Kayin state as its people recover from shelling, land 
			mines explosions and forced displacement.
 
 The situation is also complicated by fake or low-quality 
			anti-malaria medicines dispensed at village shops, which instead of 
			killing the parasites only make them stronger.
 
 "This is a big problem," said Kayin State Health Minister Aung Kyaw 
			Htwe. "We're trying to educate shopkeepers not to sell these drugs 
			and people not to take them."
 
			
			 
			In Min Saw, where a package a colorful tablets purportedly 
			containing anti-malaria drugs sells for as little as 10 cents, 
			villagers like Ka Lar Nar say sometimes it is easier to buy 
			medication from the "village quack" than to see a health worker.
 ALL-OUT ASSAULT
 
 Under a $100 million, three-year initiative in the Greater Mekong 
			region, the Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and Malaria has 
			allocated $40 million to Myanmar to fight artemisinin resistance.
 
 Part of the plan is an all-out assault to eliminate plasmodium 
			falciparum, the deadliest malaria parasite, as containment through 
			bed nets, insecticides and treating only those who test positive no 
			longer works.
 
 Villages with a high number of infected people will be flooded with 
			drugs to be taken by everybody, well and sick, to eliminate 
			falciparum before treatments fail completely. The plan has received 
			ethical clearance from the Myanmar government.
 
 Nosten, whose team is mapping 800 villages on the Thai-Myanmar 
			border for potential mass treatment, says elimination is a 
			challenge, in particular as malaria is worst in remote rural areas 
			and because of a large number of migrants in the region.
 
 "Some of these villages are five days' walk from the nearest road," 
			said Nosten, director of the Shoklo Malaria Research Unit in the 
			Thai border town of Mae Sot. "But if we don't do it quickly, it will 
			be too late and millions of people will die."
 
 Mass drug treatments have been tried before with varying success. If 
			the parasites are only cleared from half the population, the plan 
			could backfire and boost resistance rather than eliminate it.
 
 It also requires consent of the population but Nosten is confident 
			that most villagers will participate.
 
 Screening points have also been set up at key locations frequented 
			by migrant workers where everyone can be tested, no matter whether 
			they show malaria symptoms.
 
 (Reporting By Astrid Zweynert; Editing by Ros Russell)
 
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