Fall 2021 Logan County
Farm Outlook Magazine

Will the supply chain crisis force us back in time
By Nila Smith

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[October 25, 2021]  "Supply Chain Crisis” has become the hot button phrase for many news media sources over the last few weeks. Especially, now that President Biden has vowed to correct the problem by bringing to port all those barges full of consumable goods sitting off the California coast.

The fact is the supply chain issues have been ongoing for more than a year, and some of our major manufacturing companies have felt the heat of not being able to fill orders, not being able to complete production on items and indeed parking unfinished inventory in factory parking lots while they await the arrival of necessary components.

Among those necessary components is the ever important micro-chip or semi-conductor now commonplace in many items including cars, trucks, tractors and combines.

Travis Jones, CEO for LHP Telematics explained the situation companies like his have been in and how they got there in an article published on April 24, 2021by agrinews-pubs.com

In “Chip shortage affects ag industry — and, no, it’s not the potato kind” Jones said that when the pandemic broke out, many companies that produce the chips in China shut down. In addition, those that were still working cut back on production because of the fear that they would not be purchased.

But, that psychology backfired when the American government issued stay at home rules and many employees began working at home. Children were also at home, and both parents and kids needed access to technology to continue on working and receiving their education. Jones said in the article, “The biggest issue is that demand has skyrocketed.”

Jones also noted that with the issuance of multiple stimulus checks per household throughout 2020, cash was available to purchase electronics for home entertainment.

These factors increased the demand and compounded the severity of the shortage. The end result, chips that were available were going to consumer items and not items such as combines and tractors.

Companies like John Deere that is serviced by LHP Telematics had to halt production of many of their machines mid-way because they needed those chips for guidance systems and other technology within the tractors and combines.

As farmers looked to replace equipment, they found there was no equipment to buy or at least a very limited supply.

Additionally, other raw materials were being delayed and companies had to make the choice to keep building partially complete implements or use the resources they had on hand to manufacture replacement parts for what was already out there.

So, how are grain producers coping with this mess? In an article written by Reuters correspondents P.J. Huffstutter and Mark Weinraub and published on October 12, 2021 in Lincoln Daily News, workarounds are currently the name of the game for farmers.

In the article “'Desperate for tires.' Components shortage roils U.S. harvest,” the authors talked to mid-west farmers who said they were doing all they could to keep their machinery safe, but they had several concerns. They were seeking out local welders to fix broken parts instead of replacing them Some were concerned that parts would be stolen from their equipment so they were driving everything inside and locking their machine sheds daily. Farm sales were becoming all the more important as equipment that had been previously considered worthless was being purchased so that interchangeable parts could be taken from them to use on more modern equipment.

In addition, some manufacturers were shipping those incomplete tools to dealerships. Combines and tractors were being purchased without technology installed. Dealerships in turn were robbing old, unsellable implements of their systems. Though old and out of date, all agreed it was better than nothing and would provide some of the valuable digital information’s farmers rely on for their future farm loans.

In total, the article surmised that the farmers were doing what they do best, adapting to their situation and trying to keep the wheels on the bus (or combine if you will) until the end of harvest.

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So how long will this shortage continue? In July an article published by Wengers “How the Microchip Shortage Impacts the Agricultural Industry” indicated that while there may be an increase in chip availability in the near future, the long term projection is that it will be 2022 before the microchip supply meets the demand.

More recently, an interview by CNBC with Advanced Micro Devices Inc CEO Lisa Su concurred, saying it would be the second half of 2022 before the supply meets demand.

In the meantime, other events of recent days are also possibly impacting equipment availability. Raw materials are in demand for items such as tires, and the unrest among John Deere employees could also slow production and delivery of new implements.

Also being reported is a shortage of potash fertilizer as well as nitrogen products. What is available is not going to go for cheap when planting season arrives next spring.

After Covid, Hurricane Ida has also had an impact on the supply chain when damage occurred to the Bayer Chemical plant in Louisiana. This is going to impact the production of products such as Round Up and Atrazine and other chemicals containing glyphosate.

There is a reported shortage of resin used to make plastics. This will impact the supply of items such as baler twine and those large plastic on-the-ground grain and silage storage bags.

For the farmer, this could be yet another pivot, perhaps going back to the old way of doing things. We may see a coming year where farmers consider crop rotation away from corn due to a lack of needed chemicals and fertilizer.

They may also need to cope with record keeping without the use of technology or with less up-to-date technology. Only time will tell, just how “old school” producers will have to go in order to keep the farm running in 2022.

However this story ends, one thing is sure, if anyone can adjust to challenges it is our farmers. The old ways may not be the best anymore, but they are still known, and farmers will figure out how to make due until the balance returns.

AMD CEO Lisa Su says chip shortage likely to end next year (cnbc.com)

How the Microchip Shortage Impacts the Agricultural Industry
How the Microchip Shortage Is Impacting Agriculture | Wengers®

'Desperate for tires.' Components shortage roils U.S. harvest
LDN - Business (lincolndailynews.com)

U.S. farmers face supply shortages, higher costs after Hurricane Ida
LDN - Business (lincolndailynews.com)

THREE WAYS SUPPLY CHAIN BOTTLENECKS ARE IMPACTING U.S. AG TRADE  
The Impact of Supply Chain Bottlenecks on Ag Trade | AgAmerica

Chip shortage affects ag industry — and, no, it’s not the potato kind 
Chip shortage affects ag industry — and, no, it’s not the potato kind – AgriNews (agrinews-pubs.com)

The ongoing impact of COVID-19 on global supply chains

The ongoing impact of COVID-19 on global supply chains | World Economic Forum (weforum.org)

 

Read all the articles in our new
2021 Fall Farm Outlook Magazine

Title
CLICK ON TITLES TO GO TO PAGES
Page
LDN Intro 4
Fall Farm Synopsis 5
Top Illinois Ag issues:  Infrastructure, trade, renewable fuels, clean air and water 7
Will the supply chain crisis force us back in time? 14
Grain export status:  Is China buying? 19
Cost of agricultural inputs continue to rise 22
Growing resistance to pesticides and GMOs 28
Agricultural challenges to protect and fee the world 32
On the farm with the Kindred family 36

 

 

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