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Features
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Weekly
outlook
Production concerns
[JULY 3, 2002]
URBANA —
Historically, weather markets tend to result in corn and soybean
prices peaking in the pre-harvest period, said a University of
Illinois Extension marketing specialist.
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"However, there are
some recent exceptions to that rule," Darrel Good added. "In
1993-94, the full impact of weather on production was not revealed
until January after harvest, resulting in cash prices peaking later
in the year — January for corn and May for soybeans.
"In 1995-96, a small
crop was followed by extremely strong demand, resulting in cash
prices peaking in July for both corn and soybeans."
Good’s comments came
as he reviewed recent USDA reports. The USDA’s June report on
acreage contained a larger-than-expected estimate of planted and
harvested acreage of corn for grain in the United States this year.
Planted acreage of corn is estimated at 78.947 million, nearly 3.2
million more than planted last year and only 100,000 less than
revealed in the March report of prospective plantings.
"The market had
anticipated more than a million-acre reduction from March
intentions," said Good. "Acreage is less than indicated in March in
Indiana and Ohio but exceeds intentions in Illinois, Iowa and
Minnesota."
The USDA projects
harvested acreage of corn for grain at 72.081 million, 3.273 more
than harvested last year. Harvested acreage of feed grains (corn,
sorghum, oats and barley) is projected at 87.121 million, 3.535
million more than harvested last year. A decline in sorghum acreage
is more than offset by an expected increase in harvested acreage of
oats and barley.
"Even though planted
acreage of corn exceeded expectations, the market remains concerned
about the potential size of the 2002 harvest," Good said. "There has
been a recent tendency for the final estimate of planted acreage to
be less than the June estimate. That has been the case in each of
the past seven years and in nine of the past 10 years.
"The difference has
been as little as 24,000 acres and as much as 1.32 million in 1995.
More than acreage, however, the market is concerned about potential
yield of the 2002 crop. Late planting in the eastern Corn Belt is
being followed by above-normal temperatures and lack of
precipitation in many areas. That pattern is expected to continue in
the first half of July."
In addition to
concerns about crop size, the corn market has also received some
support from the USDA’s June report on grain stocks. That report
showed that June 1 inventories of corn totaled 3.594 billion
bushels, 330 million less than on the same day last year and about
15 million less than the average trade guess. Exports during the
third quarter of the 2001-02 marketing year were about 50 million
bushels larger than during the same quarter last year, and domestic
use was nearly 30 million larger.
[to top of second column in
this article] |
For soybeans, the
USDA’s June report revealed plantings of 72.993 million acres, 1.112
million less than planted last year and only 27,000 more than
indicated in March. The market had anticipated a much larger
increase due to the lateness of planting the corn crop in the
eastern Corn Belt.
"Soybean acreage is
larger than March intentions in Arkansas, Indiana, Mississippi and
Ohio, but those increases were offset by declines in Illinois, Iowa,
Michigan, Minnesota and North Dakota," said Good. "The USDA projects
harvested acreage of soybeans at 72.029 million, 971,000 less than
harvested last year.
"Like corn, there is
a tendency for the final estimate of soybean acreage to be less than
the June estimate. That has been the case in each of the previous
five years and eight of the past 10 years. Except for 2001, the
changes from June to the final acreage estimate were generally
small."
The USDA’s June
report on grain stocks revealed June 1 soybean inventories of 684
million bushels, about 24 million less than on the same date last
year and about five million less than the average trade guess.
Exports were down nearly 70 million bushels in the third quarter of
the marketing year compared to the same period last year, but the
domestic crush was about 24 million bushels larger.
"The
smaller-than-expected estimate of planted acreage of soybeans, along
with less-than-ideal growing conditions, creates a lot of
uncertainty about the potential size of the 2002 U.S. crop," said
Good. "The crop may be small enough to require a reduction in the
rate of use of U.S. soybeans during the 2002-03 marketing year."
For wheat, the USDA’s
June report indicated that planted acreage of all classes of wheat
was about one million more than indicated in March. Most of the
increase, 877,000 acres, was in spring wheat other than durum.
Still, harvested acreage of all classes of wheat is expected to be
about one million less than harvested last year even though seedings
are up by about 470,000 acres.
"Corn and soybean prices will continue to
be influenced by weather conditions and crop conditions as reflected
in the USDA’s weekly report," said Good.
[U of I news release]
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Swine odor field day set
[JULY
2, 2002]
URBANA — A field day aimed
at updating swine producers on the current situation regarding
aspects of manure management and odors from swine units will be July
10 at the Illinois State University Farm on Gregory Street in
Normal. Sponsoring the event are the Illinois Pork Producers, ISU,
the Illinois Council on Food and Agricultural Research (C-FAR), and
the University of Illinois.
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"The bulk of the program will focus on
the results of research being done in Illinois, some funded by the
Illinois Department of Agriculture’s Sustainable Ag Grants Program
and some by C-FAR as part of its research initiative on swine odor
and waste management," said Michael Ellis, U of I professor of
animal sciences, who heads the latter project.
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A number of topics will be covered at
the field day, which runs from 9:30 a.m. to 3:30 p.m. Included on
the agenda are odor sampling and measurement, nutrient reduction and
management techniques, odor reduction technologies, waste processing
technologies, community and legal issues, producer education and
training materials, and other swine management issues.
People
interested in attending should contact Paul Walker, ISU Department
of Agriculture, 5020 AGR, ISU, Normal, IL 61790-5020; phone (309)
438-3881; fax (309) 438-5653; or e-mail:
pwalker@ilstu.edu.
[U of I news release] |
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Farms granted centennial
status
[JULY
1, 2002]
SPRINGFIELD — The Illinois
Department of Agriculture has designated farms owned by John Warner
IV of Clinton and Elizabeth H. O’Herin, principal partner of C.H.
Moore Farms L.P., as Centennial Farms.
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To qualify as a Centennial Farm, a
straight or collateral line of descendants must own the agricultural
property for at least 100 years.
"I am pleased to be able to recognize
John Warner IV and Elizabeth H. O’Herin," said Agriculture Director
Joe Hampton. "This designation honors them today and their ancestors
of yesterday who labored through prosperity and adversity to
maintain their family farms.
"The Centennial Farm program helps to
reinforce that family farming remains a viable entity in Illinois
agriculture."
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The Illinois Centennial Farms program
has recognized more than 7,000 farms since its inception in 1972.
John Warner
IV is president of Moore & Warner Farm Management in Clinton, Ill.
The firm currently manages farmland in Illinois, Iowa, Kansas and
Colorado. They offer professional farm management services for
landowners anywhere in the United States.
[News
release]
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Biotech crop use
benefits environment
[JUNE
29, 2002] The
Council for Agricultural Science and Technology, a non-profit
consortium of scientists, released a comprehensive report on June 25
detailing the environmental safety and environmental benefits of
commercial biotechnology-derived soy, corn and cotton crops.
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"In the past, isolated studies
regarding the environmental impact of biotechnology-derived crops
appeared to present conflicting results," said Teresa Gruber, the
executive vice president of CAST. "Teams of researchers assembled by
CAST have reviewed and analyzed the published studies in the context
of current farming practices, and the results clearly show that
soil, air and water quality are enhanced through the responsible use
of current biotechnology-derived soybean, corn and cotton crops."
Three independent teams of CAST
researchers reviewed the available scientific literature to compare
the environmental impacts of biotechnology-derived and traditional
crops. The researchers are affiliated with Washington State
University, the University of Illinois, Clemson University, and the
National Center for Food and Agricultural Policy.
"The study was based on nine criteria,
including changes in pesticide use patterns, impacts on beneficial
insects, pest resistance, soil management, land use efficiency,
impacts on biodiversity and, of course, human exposure," said Allan
Felsot, Washington State University professor.
Specific findings for one of the most
widely planted biotech-derived crops, herbicide-tolerant soybeans,
include the following:
• Soil quality — No-till
soybean acreage in the United States has increased significantly
since the introduction of herbicide-tolerant soybeans. No-till often
results in less soil erosion, dust and pesticide runoff as well as
increased soil moisture retention.
• Water quality — Use of
biotechnology-derived soybeans enables farmers to use a more benign
herbicide that rapidly dissipates in the soil and water.
• Air quality — Greenhouse
gas emissions from some farm operations decreased by an estimated 88
percent as a result of biotech soybeans planted in a no-tillage
system, which may help slow global warming.
• Biodiversity — The
no-till practices commonly associated with biotech soybeans provide
a more favorable habitat for birds and other wildlife. No-tillage
systems provide food and shelter for wildlife such as pheasants and
ducks.
• Land use efficiency —
Biotechnology-derived soybeans may lead to increased yields through
improved weed control and the adoption of narrow-row spacing.
The study found similar benefits for
corn and cotton crops derived through biotechnology. David Onstad
from the University of Illinois was one of two scientists who
prepared the corn portion of the report.
[to top of second
column in this article]
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"We literally reviewed hundreds of
scientific documents, and we concluded that biotechnology-derived
corn has had a positive effect on the environment," Onstad said.
Corn was a more complicated crop to
review because there is Bt corn to control insects, there are
herbicide-resistant hybrids, and there are hybrids used for animal
feed as well as human food.
"Definitely, Bt corn has reduced
pesticide use," Onsatd said. "And there was no evidence that
non-target species are affected in a negative way by
biotechnology-derived hybrids. There was no evidence that these
hybrids have or will become off-site weeds either."
"Also, we expect that human exposure to
toxins has been reduced by the use of biotechnology-derived corn
hybrids — both toxins from chemical pesticides as well as naturally
occurring toxins such as aflatoxin."
Onstad says that although we have had
positive environmental impacts from biotechnology-derived corn,
soybean and cotton, we need to continue to monitor present and
future biotechnology-derived crops and conduct public-based research
to measure their efficacy. He says the report contains 10
recommendations about the research needed to effectively monitor
emerging biotech crops and technologies.
The USDA’s "Prospective Plantings,"
published in March, estimated that 20 percent of Illinois’ corn
acreage was planted with biotechnology-derived insect protection and
3 percent was planted with biotechnology-derived herbicide
tolerance. The same report estimated that 71 percent of Illinois’
soybean acreage was planted with biotechnology-derived herbicide
tolerance.
The United Soybean Board, a nonprofit
organization representing soybean farmers in United States,
commissioned the report.
Founded in 1972, CAST is a nonprofit
organization composed of scientific societies and many individual,
student, company, nonprofit and associate society members. CAST
assembles, interprets and communicates science-based information
regionally, nationally and internationally on food, fiber,
agricultural, natural resource and related societal and
environmental issues to stakeholders — legislators, regulators,
policymakers, the media, the private sector and the public.
The full report is available at the
following Web address:
http://www.cast-science.org/biotechnology/
index.html#biotechcropsbenefit.
[U of I news release]
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U of I report provides guidance
on updating acres, yields
[JUNE
27, 2002]
URBANA — A recent University of Illinois Extension report
examines changes in the new farm bill and offers producers a method
for selecting between four alternatives in updating acres and
yields. "Updating Acres and Yields under the Farm Security and Rural
Investment Act of 2002" was prepared by Gary Schnitkey and Dale
Lattz, U of I Extension farm management specialists.
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"The new law includes
provisions authorizing direct and counter-cyclical payments for 2002
through 2007 crops," said Schnitkey. "These payments will be
determined using base acres and program yields. Farmers and
landowners have one-time decisions to make concerning these acres
and yields. They either can ‘update’ acres to reflect acres from
1998 through 2001 or they can ‘not update’ and have acres based on
those used to calculate Agricultural Marketing Transition Act (AMTA)
payments.
"If base acres are
updated, farmers also can update yields used to determine
counter-cyclical payments."
Under the new law,
three types of payments are available for program crops — direct
payments, counter-cyclical payments and loan deficiency/marketing
loan payments.
Direct payments are
available for corn, soybeans, wheat, oats, grain sorghum, barley,
upland cotton and rice. Payments will be made for 2002 through 2007
crops, and the payment will be the same in each year. Payments for a
crop on a farm will equal per-bushel payment rate times program
yield times the result of base acres times .85.
"The 2002 program
implemented a counter-cyclical program for all program crops," said
Schnitkey. "Those payments equal the trigger price, which is the
higher of loan rate or season-average price, times yield times base
acres times .85."
The trigger price, he
explained, equals a target price minus the direct payment rate. The
season-average price is calculated by the USDA for 12 months, with
the first month occurring near the beginning of harvest.
[to top of second column in this
article] |
"The yield is an
important variable that farmers have to make a decision about," he
noted.
Schnitkey summarized
the options available to producers.
"When base acres are
not updated, programs yields are also used to determine
counter-cyclical payments," he said. "Farmers can choose to update
acres and use program yields in determining counter-cyclical
payments. Another option is to update acres and use the 70 percent
difference method to update yields. Finally, farmers can update
acres and use the 93.5 percent method to update yields."
Schnitkey and Lattz
note that in some cases farmers will have to trade off the corn base
acre for the ability to update yields. For example, some farms have
a relatively high corn base compared to the current corn plantings.
Updating acres will result in the loss of corn base acres,
suggesting that the farm maintain its current base acres. However,
maintaining current base acres will not allow a farmer to update
yields, meaning that the counter-cyclical payments will be lower
than when base acres are updated.
The report examines a
number of options available to producers in making these choices.
Copies of the report can be accessed on
the Web at
http://web.aces.uiuc.edu/farm.doc/
manage/newsletters/fefo02_11.html.
[U of I news release]
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Honors
& Awards
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Hartem FFA brings home
awards
[JUNE
29, 2002]
Hartsburg-Emden FFA members recently attended the 74th
Illinois FFA Convention. Chapter members received numerous awards
and recognitions as well as enjoying the main session.
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Brittney Kavanaugh
received a blue ribbon for her agri-science fair project at the
state competition.
Kent Leesman was
recognized for his outstanding achievements this past year as a top
chapter president, Star Farmer finalist, Grain Production
Proficiency winner, and National Risk Management Essay winner.
Natalie Coers was
recognized for her achievements as a top ten chapter reporter, as
well as participating in the state FFA band.
Nic Coers, Daniel
Eeten and Kent Leesman were honored to receive their state FFA
degrees at the convention.
Although individual chapter members
brought home the awards, the Hartem FFA chapter also gained
recognition. Hartem FFA won the Co-op Award, Triple Crown Heritage
Award, Century Challenge Sweepstakes Award, and was named a Gold
Emblem Chapter. The convention proved to be a show of excellence for
all of the FFA members and chapters from across the state.
[News release] |
[Kent Leesman and adviser Betsy Pech are
recognized for the risk management essay.]
[Hartem FFA state degree recipients]
[Hartem FFA members ready for the closing of
"Journey of a Lifetime."]
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Logan County 4-H
Bicycle Show results
[JUNE
26, 2002]
The Logan County 4-H Bicycle
Show was on June 15. Ten 4-H’ers participated in this year’s show.
Mathew Runyon of Broadwell won the bicycle award, donated by
Lincoln McDonald’s Restaurant.
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Chosen
as state fair delegates were Mathew Runyon of Broadwell, Bicycle
Adventures II; Ben Buse, Beason, Bicycle Adventures II; Kelli
Brooks, Lincoln, Bicycle Adventures II; and John Brooks, Lincoln,
Bicycle Adventures III.
Chosen
as a state fair alternate was Zack Huffer, Lincoln, Bicycle
Adventures II.
All 4-H
participants and their ratings are listed below.
2002 4-H Bicycle Show
results
Bicycle award
Mathew
Runyon, Broadwell
Top rating award
Max Buse,
Beason
[to top of second column in
this article] |
Blue awards
Bicycle
Adventures I — David Carter, Lincoln; Ryan Huffer, Lincoln; Hayden
Zimmer, Lincoln
Bicycle
Adventures II — Douglas Alberts, Hartsburg; Kelli Brooks, Lincoln;
Ben Buse, Beason; Max Buse, Beason; Zack Huffer, Lincoln; Mathew
Runyon, Broadwell
Bicycle
Adventures III — John Brooks, Lincoln
State fair delegates
Bicycle
Adventures II — Kelli Brooks, Ben Buse, Mathew Runyon
Bicycle
Adventures III — John Brooks, Lincoln
State fair alternate
Bicycle
Adventures II — Zack Huffer, Lincoln
For further information on Logan County
4-H, contact the Logan County 4-H office, 980 N. Postville Drive,
Lincoln, IL 62656; or phone (217) 732-8289.
[News release]
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Ag
Announcements
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Special
baking contests
at state fair
[JULY
1, 2002]
Contestants are
invited to prepare gingerbread houses and Spam recipes to enter at the
Illinois State Fair in August.
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Awards will be given for the most creative
entries in the Brer Rabbit® Molasses Gingerbread House Contest at
the state fair. Both beginners and gingerbread house enthusiasts are
invited to compete for cash and prizes. In 2001, judges picked
winning entries ranging from traditional to elaborate, including a
castle, a detailed tree house with garden and another resembling the
"Old Woman in a Shoe." Any theme entry is welcome that uses Brer
Rabbit molasses and is up to a foot tall, wide and deep, base not
included. Entrants must also bake and enter one dozen gingerbread
cookies.
Winners are selected based on
appearance (50 percent), originality and creativity (40 percent),
and taste (10 percent). Creators are awarded $150 for first place,
$75 for second and $25 for third. People of any age may enter, with
one entry per person or group. Several people may work on one entry,
but one person represents the group.
[to top of second column in this
article]
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The Illinois State Fair will be one of
70 fairs hosting the Spam® Oven Roasted Turkey Contest. Using the
Spam turkey and up to nine other ingredients, contestants are to
create an original main dish, appetizer, casserole, stew, stir-fry,
salad sandwich or any other recipe. To focus on convenience, cooking
time may not exceed 30 minutes.
Judges select winners based on taste
appeal (40 percent), appearance (30 percent) and originality (30
percent). The three best entries win cash awards of $150, $50 and
$25, and first-place winners advance to national judging for a
$2,500 shopping spree and an all-expense-paid trip to Minneapolis.
To enter
either contest, contact the entry department at the Illinois State
Fair, 782-6661, by July 15. More details for the gingerbread contest
are on page 90, and those for the Spam contest are on page 86 of the
general premium book.
[News release]
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