1. Control the time-of-possession category: This might be the
most important key, in my humble opinion. While Illinois definitely
has their fair share of quick-strike weapons, the Illini are at
their best when they methodically control the clock on offense and
force the opposition to panic when they finally get the ball.
Illinois beat Ohio State at the Horseshoe because they had
possession of the football for over 13 minutes of the fourth
quarter. 2. Win the turnover battle: This goes without even
stating, but Illinois is a pretty good team when they hold onto the
ball. Against Missouri and Michigan, it was turnovers that did them
in. On the road against Iowa, it was a key late turnover that was
the difference between a win and a loss. Win the turnover battle and
Illinois dramatically improves their chances for a victory.
3. Develop an "Us against the World" mentality: No BCS has
been more disrespected than Illinois this bowl season. It's been a
national trend. All the "geniuses" think Illinois will get destroyed
-- and they could. In a recent ESPN fan poll involving thousands of
responses, 89 percent picked USC to beat Illinois. If I'm Ron Zook
and staff, a bulletin board full of disrespect is all my boys would
see for the next 36 hours.
4. Make smart coaching decisions: On Saturday, Zook won the
Liberty Mutual National Coach of the Year award -- so maybe I have
nothing at all to worry about. But Zook, Mike Locksley and crew will
need to be at their very best against a USC team that is more
talented than any team Illinois has faced this year -- including
Ohio State. Zook did great most of the year, but came under some
scrutiny after the Iowa game for declining penalties that would have
resulted in fourth downs, only to see Iowa convert on third-and-long
situations. Zook really seemed to out-coach Jim Tressell in the Ohio
State game and will need to do the same on Tuesday.
5. Put John David Booty on his booty: Simply put -- hit USC's
quarterback early and often. The quarterback has been prone to
injury, and some early contact (legal, of course) from Will Davis,
Chris Norwell and crew could begin to put doubts in Booty's mind.
Illinois was again at its best when they put opposing quarterbacks
on their rear ends -- especially in wins against Penn State and Ohio
State. Zook will probably have to blitz in order to accomplish this
against USC's very good offensive line.
6. Establish Rashard Mendenhall early and often: Mendenhall
is probably headed for the NFL next year, and nothing would help his
stock more than a huge game on the national TV. My guess is Southern
Cal will stack the line early in the game and force Juice Williams
to throw the football, but Illinois must keep calling Mendenhall's
number (along with RB Daniel Dufrene).
7. Give Benn and Vontae return opportunities: No disrespect
at all to Jacob Willis, Will Judson or Kyle Hudson, but I say give
stars Vontae Davis and Regus Benn every return chance they can on
Tuesday. These two might be the best future NFL prospects on the
roster because of speed and quickness, and the more chances they
touch the ball, the more opportunities to make big plays.
8. Throw early to the tight ends: In Illinois' spread
offense, it is almost unfair to throw to the tight end, and that is
why Illinois' tight ends are almost always open. While Jeff
Cumberland is lining up in the slot much of the time, his body still
says tight end, and he and Michael Hoomanawanui (better known to
many simply as Oh-Oh) form an excellent duo at the position for
Illinois. If I were offensive coordinator Mike Locksley, I might
call plays for the tight end three or four times in the first
quarter alone -- and that alone might help open up the running game.
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9. Continue to play eight to 10 defensive linemen: Illinois
has an eight-to-10-man rotation on the defensive line, and while
guys like Will Davis and Chris Norwell are probably a little bit
better than some of the others, the Illini have really appeared
stronger at the end of games on defense because of the rotation of
fresh players. This should continue Tuesday -- especially
considering the athleticism of the USC Trojans.
10. Make sure special teams are truly special: Jason Reda
will conclude his incredible Illinois career as placekicker, and he
should continue to be a very consistent part of Illinois' scoring
attack. The punting game, while better in '07 than in '06, is still
nothing to write home about -- but hopefully can at least hold its
own Tuesday. And it goes without saying that punts must be fielded
and not fumbled, and illegal blocks in the back cannot happen.
However, a blocked punt like the one from the Missouri game would be
a nice late Christmas present for Illini nation.
And so there you have it -- 10 keys for an Illinois victory on
Tuesday. But, in many ways, win or lose, Illinois has already won so
much -- going from a team that won just eight games the past four
seasons to a team that won nine games, beat the No. 1 team in the
land, featured the Big Ten's MVP (Mendenhall) and the national coach
of the year.
And because 2008 is upon us, I close today with 10 fearless
predictions for 2008:
-
The New England
Patriots DO NOT win the Super Bowl.
-
2008 will be the
nastiest presidential election in history -- but in the end, the
Giuliani-Huckabee ticket just beats the Clinton-Richardson duo.
-
Lincoln HS,
Illinois and the Chicago Bulls will do better in January,
February and March than they did in October, November and
December.
-
Tiger Woods will
win at least two majors.
-
Tony Stewart will
win the NASCAR Chase.
-
The Cubs will win
the National League -- and lose in seven games to the Red Sox in
the World Series.
-
The Cardinals won't
finish above the .500 mark.
-
Illinois football
will field a better team in 2008 -- but win fewer games.
-
Kobe Bryant will be
traded to the Bulls during the summer of 2008.
-
The Bears win 12
games and return to the playoffs.
There you have it -- have a safe and happy New Year -- and let's
get a big Rose Bowl victory Tuesday!
[By GREG TAYLOR]
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